Saturday, October 27, 2012

2016 CL Community Projections

Same as the NL Projections posted in the post before this.


CL West
Yoshinori Sasaki - Sasaki was signed from San Francisco to provide a bit of stability to the infield in St. Charles and that's what Glenn hopes he gets.  I'm thinking Glenn would be happy with a repeat of the slash line that is projected with an increase in plate appearances of 200.

Luke Pittman - Oh Luke, you really are made of glass.  Not even 2 weeks into the new BSA season you've gotten injured, but that's predictable at this point and projections had him only getting 426 plate appearances.  He was signed to compete in about 400 plate appearances and Seattle fans have to hope he can stay alive that long.

Jesus Hernandez - Dirty had a relatively healthy season in 2015 with 562 plate appearances for a catcher.  Projections expect that to drop a bit this year, but see a bit of an improvement in his slash line with more rest.

Seung-Chun Mun - Mun had a nice rookie year last year and projections expect him to add a bit of power this year, but otherwise remain largely similar this year.  He's a good piece for Reno to build an OF around and Reno needs pieces.

Michael Hoffmeyer - Hoffmeyer had a strong breakout year last year with a 2.75 ERA in 196 innings.  Projections don't believe he repeats that and expects him adding a run to his ERA.  However, to offset they expect an increase in K's to reduce base runners a bit.



Yoshinori Sasaki, SCS PA AVG OBP SLG HR OPS AB TB wOBA RC
2015 Season 345 0.288 0.349 0.417 6 0.766 315 131.5 0.337 45.9
BSA Average 545.5 0.284 0.350 0.421 13.4 0.771 495 208.4 0.339 73.0
BSA Standard Deviation 87.5 0.014 0.024 0.034 2.1 0.052 82 34.1 0.021 11.4











Luke Pittman, SEA PA AVG OBP SLG HR OPS AB TB wOBA RC
2015 Season 484 0.253 0.356 0.384 10 0.74 417 160.2 0.331 57.0
BSA Average 426.3 0.251 0.342 0.412 16.2 0.754 375 154.4 0.332 52.7
BSA Standard Deviation 160.7 0.083 0.110 0.140 7.4 0.247 139 68.8 0.120 25.0











Jesus Hernandez, POC PA AVG OBP SLG HR OPS AB TB wOBA RC
2015 Season 562 0.24 0.305 0.396 14 0.701 514 203.5 0.306 62.1
BSA Average 489.6 0.250 0.320 0.406 16.5 0.726 444 180.5 0.318 57.8
BSA Standard Deviation 65.6 0.023 0.027 0.025 4.0 0.050 66 23.4 0.022 8.9











Seung-Chun Mun, REN PA AVG OBP SLG HR OPS AB TB wOBA RC
2015 Season 559 0.263 0.32 0.378 9 0.698 516 195.0 0.309 62.4
BSA Average 532.7 0.261 0.320 0.390 12.9 0.710 490 190.9 0.312 61.1
BSA Standard Deviation 135.6 0.025 0.037 0.040 5.4 0.074 121 54.7 0.034 20.5











Michael Hoffmeyer, VIS IP ERA K BB W/Sv FIP RAA


2015 Season 196.33 2.75 132 116 11 4.84 10.4


BSA Average 197.8 3.66 147 91 12 4.31 22.2


BSA Standard Deviation 11.6 0.59 16 18 1 0 8



CL East
 Adam Morrow - Projections expect a bit of a reduction in games played as he had an unreal 733 plate appearances last year.  However, overall projections seem to indicate an expectation of a similar OPS.  However, those reduced plate appearances will lead to a decrease in runs created which would mean those 1.4 wins will need to be made up somewhere.

Gregg Burkholder - Burkholder sat as a free agent most of last year; however, does he have a full season left in his tank?  The projections indicate him being more of a platoon hitter and with increased exposure from last year a drop in his slash line.

Manuel Mozcado - Overall projections seem to call for a massive improvement in batting average this year which will be offset in a decreased slugging.  Not sure what to make of that, but overall projections don't expect his power output to change much with 33.5 homers vs a 2015 mark of 33 homers.

Rafael Salas- Salas leads his team into a new chapter in Chicago and many expect him to drop off quite a bit this year.  His projected homer total is half of what he hit last year with a slugging drop off of 120 points.  Chicago fans have to hope these projections are wrong.

Olivier Beaudoin - Beaudoin had a nice year last year with a 3.31 ERA in 174 innings and projections seem to call for her peripherals to stay similar, but that ERA to catch back up and increase a bit.



Adam Morrow, JER PA AVG OBP SLG HR OPS AB TB wOBA RC
2015 Season 733 0.282 0.402 0.36 4 0.762 610 219.8 0.349 88.4
BSA Average 588.5 0.294 0.390 0.375 6.6 0.765 508 190.5 0.348 74.4
BSA Standard Deviation 97.1 0.016 0.030 0.030 5.2 0.019 76 34.1 0.011 12.8











Gregg Burkholder, STL PA AVG OBP SLG HR OPS AB TB wOBA RC
2015 Season 161 0.296 0.399 0.459 5 0.858 137 63.1 0.378 25.2
BSA Average 440.9 0.279 0.368 0.450 17.7 0.819 386 173.9 0.359 64.1
BSA Standard Deviation 69.0 0.015 0.017 0.019 6.4 0.022 60 30.0 0.010 10.8











Manuel Mozcado, MAD PA AVG OBP SLG HR OPS AB TB wOBA RC
2015 Season 559 0.255 0.335 0.548 33 0.883 499 273.4 0.370 91.6
BSA Average 552.5 0.273 0.341 0.526 33.5 0.867 500 263.5 0.367 89.8
BSA Standard Deviation 85.5 0.023 0.013 0.050 8.0 0.056 80 57.7 0.019 21.0











Rafael Salas, CHI PA AVG OBP SLG HR OPS AB TB wOBA RC
2015 Season 550 0.255 0.335 0.548 33 0.883 491 269.0 0.370 90.1
BSA Average 553.2 0.276 0.357 0.429 15.8 0.785 492 210.7 0.345 75.2
BSA Standard Deviation 70.0 0.011 0.011 0.037 4.5 0.043 57 34.8 0.015 13.5











Olivier Beaudoin, GRN IP ERA K BB W/Sv FIP RAA


2015 Season 174 3.31 134 48 12 3.90 27.4


BSA Average 180.8 3.83 135 50 13 3.95 27.6


BSA Standard Deviation 24.9 0.66 27 14 3 0 10



 CL Central
Rob Sharp - Can Rob Sharp continue hitting homers like he did last year topping 40?  Projections show a bit of a drop off, but very little change to his slash line except an increase in average of 25 points to offset that decrease in homers slightly.

Ben Moss - Moss is a player I've always liked and projections expect an improvement from him this year with a 35 point increase in OPS.  They don't expect quite the rigor of play with a drop of 110 plate appearances though.

Jose Guevara - Guevara had a bit of a rough year last year with a 4.72 ERA, but still struck out 190.  Indy keeps building and projections expect a decrease in ERA while striking out just as many.  Look for a similar year this year.

Ben Lane - Lane had a shortened season last year, but can he pitch most of the season this year?  Projections expect an increase in innings, but a drop in his K/9 and increase in his BB/9.  Can he hold on?



Rob Sharp, AUS PA AVG OBP SLG HR OPS AB TB wOBA RC
2015 Season 708 0.241 0.371 0.497 41 0.868 587 291.6 0.374 108.2
BSA Average 586.3 0.266 0.379 0.496 36.8 0.875 496 246.2 0.378 93.3
BSA Standard Deviation 62.8 0.028 0.021 0.017 8.3 0.032 48 29.4 0.014 12.2











Ben Moss, TOR PA AVG OBP SLG HR OPS AB TB wOBA RC
2015 Season 653 0.263 0.36 0.378 14 0.738 567 214.3 0.331 77.2
BSA Average 543.7 0.280 0.371 0.402 15.7 0.773 475 190.8 0.345 70.8
BSA Standard Deviation 104.2 0.014 0.012 0.025 3.0 0.032 93 39.1 0.012 15.1











Jose Guevara, IND IP ERA K BB W/Sv FIP RAA


2015 Season 183 4.72 190 93 15 4.24 22.0


BSA Average 187.2 4.53 188 94 14 4.29 21.5


BSA Standard Deviation 13.4 0.35 15 14 3 0 5













Ben Lane, KCY IP ERA K BB W/Sv FIP RAA


2015 Season 99.67 4.06 77 29 4 3.57 19.4


BSA Average 168.0 4.62 118 58 9 3.87 27.2


BSA Standard Deviation 28.5 0.57 28 11 3 0 9


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