NL Community Projections

For each of these I will present the player's 2015 BSA Statistics, the average of the projections received, and the standard deviation of those projections.  For FIP, since I didn't ask for a projection of HR/9 allowed, I used the pitchers career HR/9 which is why you may not see their 2015 FIP match up to the game's FIP.  The standard deviations are presented to tell you how far off the averages were and what will be used to calculate scores.  For example on Renner, for him his standard deviation on plate appearances was 36.1 PA.  For every 36.1 off from that your projection is in comparison to their 2016 end of year PA will garner you 1 "point".  The score will be presented as average deviations on the 5 categories, lowest score wins where a score of 0 means you projected exactly the finish.

NL South

Gernot Renner - Projections has that he won't get quite as many plate appearances, but there's expectations he'll hit just as many homers and a slight uptick in his slash line.

Jud Younger - Once again a stark decrease in plate appearances, but projections expect an uptick in his OPS of about 80 points and nearly as many total bases.

Reginald Krause - Overall projections say about 200 innings still with a slight increase in ERA and slight decrease in K.

Reagan Wear - Projections show a solid first full season throwing 177 innings and a 4.61 ERA.  He'll have nearly a K per inning and a 10 win season with a 4.99 FIP.

C Gernot Renner, JAX	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR	OPS	AB	TB	wOBA	RC
2015 Season	624	0.251	0.327	0.459	29	0.786	561	257.4	0.338	84.2
BSA Average	565.4	0.261	0.334	0.462	29.7	0.796	510	235.8	0.343	78.7
BSA Standard Deviation	36.1	0.025	0.018	0.018	4.2	0.030	33	16.2	0.013	8.6
3B Jud Younger, HEN	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR	OPS	AB	TB	wOBA	RC
2015 Season	659	0.212	0.348	0.406	22	0.754	545	221.4	0.333	77.0
BSA Average	564.5	0.231	0.367	0.465	25.8	0.832	465	216.3	0.362	79.4
BSA Standard Deviation	72.4	0.019	0.024	0.044	3.7	0.065	62	36.0	0.025	16.3
SP Reginald Krause, NEW	IP	ERA	K	BB	W/Sv	FIP	RAA
2015 Season	220.33	3.88	204	66	17	4.11	29.6
BSA Average	199.1	4.16	186	67	14	4.20	24.8
BSA Standard Deviation	24.4	0.17	18	13	2	0	5
SP Reagan Wear, ORL	IP	ERA	K	BB	W/Sv	FIP	RAA
2015 Season	57.3	5.81	36	30	1	5.39	-0.5
BSA Average	177.2	4.61	141	88	10	4.99	6.6
BSA Standard Deviation	30.5	0.60	33	15	2	0	8

 NL East
Eduardo Padovano - Projections expect that he won't miss near the time he did last year with injury, but that the increase playing time will result in a lower slash line.

Jesus Valdez - Valdez is projected to have a slight uptick in plate appearances, but still not play a full season.  He's projected for a 80 point increase in OPS and create an additional 20 runs to provide an extra 2 wins.  There is a lot of variance in his picks for plate appearances and homers.

Angel Munoz - The Angel of Baffin shows to have a relatively similar season to last year.  Just 3 additional innings but a steep drop in his ERA.

Jose Navarro - #1 pick Navarro is projected to struggle a bit in his first full season straight up to the majors.  There's a lot of variance in innings pitched on this one.

Gordon Brown - Gordon Brown is nothing if he isn't consistant.  He's projected to have a similar year with a few additional innings, but also Ks.

Eduardo Padovano, BOS	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR	OPS	AB	TB	wOBA	RC
2015 Season	221	0.313	0.394	0.456	2	0.85	195	88.9	0.374	35.0
BSA Average	518.4	0.285	0.349	0.416	7.8	0.764	472	196.4	0.337	68.4
BSA Standard Deviation	81.6	0.024	0.022	0.034	3.3	0.051	79	27.0	0.021	10.4
Jesus Valdez, CLE	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR	OPS	AB	TB	wOBA	RC
2015 Season	385	0.229	0.314	0.4	8	0.714	343	137.0	0.312	43.0
BSA Average	471.7	0.250	0.333	0.462	11.9	0.794	419	193.6	0.342	64.4
BSA Standard Deviation	88.5	0.023	0.021	0.143	4.9	0.143	78	50.0	0.043	18.4
Angel Munoz, BAF	IP	ERA	K	BB	W/Sv	FIP	RAA
2015 Season	190.67	3.73	149	50	11	3.88	30.5
BSA Average	194.1	3.36	143	52	15	3.99	28.7
BSA Standard Deviation	16.5	0.67	18	11	3	0	4
Jose Navarro, NYK	IP	ERA	K	BB	W/Sv	FIP	RAA
2015 Season	62	5.52	39	42	1	5.52	-1.4
BSA Average	169.7	4.72	124	88	8	4.84	9.1
BSA Standard Deviation	21.6	0.52	24	19	3	0	7
Gordon Brown, NFF	IP	ERA	K	BB	W/Sv	FIP	RAA
2015 Season	57.1	2.04	46	20	32	3.62	10.8
BSA Average	67.0	2.89	58	24	34	3.53	13.3
BSA Standard Deviation	13.9	0.47	16	4	9	0	4

 NL West
Tom Oglethorpe - Will he stay healthy this year?  Projections say no.  He will contribute pretty well in his time that he does play, but the projections say don't count on his for the full year on average.  However there is much variance with a standard deviation of plate appearances of 107 plate appearances.

Ricardo Vargas- Projections were made prior to his injury, but the injury was at least partially seen prior with a decrease of 82 plate appearances this year.  Overall though a solid year still projected.

Etienne Garcia - The youngster is expected to get better this year.  Projections show he will increase his K/BB ratio a decent chunk mostly from increasing Ks.  He will need to work on bringing down the walks though.

Rodger Hinton - Hinton will throw his first full year in Los Angeles this year and with the change in park, most think his ERA will go down.  Projections show a rather full season pitched though at 183 innings while an uptick in wins with the Bruins offense carrying him.

Ernesto Jijon - Ernesto needs to solidify his position to help take San Francisco to the next level.  Most projectors see him improving his ERA while saving the same amount of games.

Tom Oglethorpe, LCC	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR	OPS	AB	TB	wOBA	RC
2015 Season	431	0.263	0.355	0.367	8	0.722	377	138.4	0.325	49.1
BSA Average	388.8	0.271	0.354	0.398	9.8	0.752	344	137.1	0.334	48.5
BSA Standard Deviation	106.9	0.012	0.021	0.038	5.1	0.049	97	44.4	0.019	15.4
Ricardo Vargas, MAU	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR	OPS	AB	TB	wOBA	RC
2015 Season	692	0.288	0.363	0.556	39	0.919	619	344.2	0.387	125.0
BSA Average	609.8	0.293	0.371	0.533	33.2	0.904	543	289.4	0.385	107.3
BSA Standard Deviation	74.5	0.024	0.022	0.059	11.1	0.072	67	55.9	0.025	22.5
Etienne Garcia, ELP	IP	ERA	K	BB	W/Sv	FIP	RAA
2015 Season	161.33	4.96	70	65	8	4.55	13.8
BSA Average	169.1	4.78	103	77	9	4.36	18.0
BSA Standard Deviation	19.2	0.50	21	14	2	0	4
Rodger Hinton, LAB	IP	ERA	K	BB	W/Sv	FIP	RAA
2015 Season	196.33	4.54	157	73	11	3.77	33.8
BSA Average	183.1	4.08	143	60	13	3.67	33.6
BSA Standard Deviation	11.8	0.31	19	15	2	0	7
Ernesto Jijon, SNF	IP	ERA	K	BB	W/Sv	FIP	RAA
2015 Season	65.33	3.31	80	16	32	3.22	15.3
BSA Average	68.3	2.86	75	19	32	3.59	13.2
BSA Standard Deviation	12.3	0.71	7	7	8	0	2